Laurent Terray, Senior research scientist
Short Bio
I am a senior research scientist at the European Center for Research and Advanced Training in Scientific Computation (Cerfacs) located in Toulouse, France. I am also the director of the research unit Climate, Environment, Coupling and Uncertainties (CECI) which is a joint research unit between Cerfacs and CNRS. I have also been an affiliate scientist in the Climate Analysis Section (CAS) of the Climate & Global Dynamics group (CGD) at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder, Colorado, USA, from 2016 to 2022. I was also a lead author for the working group 1 (WG1) IPCC 6th assessment report released in August 2021. I was involved in chapter 10 "From global to regional".
Research
I am studying global and regional climate variability and global change in observations and models with a focus on air-sea interaction, coupled phenomena and teleconnections. Recent projects cover the question of climate change detection and attribution, dynamics of extremes, decadal variability and predictability, the influence of internal variability on future climate change, the concept of polar amplification and the effect of sea ice melt on climate, the coupling and scale interaction in frontal oceanic regions, the impact of increased vertical and horizontal resolution in model-observation comparison. I am also interested in using Data Science and AI methods to some climate problems. I am also interested by epistemology and the history of science as well as ethical science issues.
Publications
In preparation, submitted or in press
2024
Terray, L., Bador, M., 2024: Mediterranean Sea Surface Temperature Contribution to extreme land precipitation: the case of storm Alex. To be submitted to Environmental Research: Climate.
Baur, S., Sanderson, B., Séférian, R., and Terray, L., 2024: Change in Wind Renewable Energy Potential under Stratospheric Aerosol Injections. Submitted to Earth's Future
Bador, M., Boé, J.,Caillaud, C.,Terray, L., Moine, M.P., Alias, A., 2024: Mediterranean Extreme Precipitation: Amplification by Warmer Sea Surface Temperatures in a Kilometer-Scale Regional Model. Submitted to Climate Dynamics
Gao, Jiaxiang, Minobe, S., Roberts, M.J., Haarsma, R., Putrasahan, D., Scoccimarro, E.,Terray, L., and Vidale, P.L., 2024: Projected Future Changes in Bomb Cyclones by the HighResMIP-1 PRIMAVERA Multimodel Ensemble. In revision, Climate Dynamics
Foudad, M., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Jaravel, T., Rochoux, M., and Terray, L., 2024: Past and Future Trends in Clear-Air Turbulence over the Northern Hemisphere. In revision, Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
Perini, M., Terray, L., Cariolle, D., Peatier, S., and Moine, M.-P.: Parametric Sensitivity and Constraint of Contrail Cirrus Radiative Forcing in the Atmospheric Component of CNRM-CM6-1. In revision, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, EGUsphere [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2478, 2023
Sanchez, E., ... Terray, L., Voldoire, A., 2024: Description and evaluation of the CNRM-Cerfacs Climate Prediction System (C3PS). Submitted to Journal of Advances in Modelling Earth Systems.
Peatier, S., Sanderson, B., Terray, L., 2024: Exploration of diverse solutions for the calibration of imperfect climate models. In revision, Earth System Dynamics, EGUsphere [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2269
Baur, S., Sanderson, B., Séférian, R., Terray, L., 2024: Solar Radiation Modification challenges decarbonization with renewable solar energy. Accepted, Earth System Dynamics, selected as an highlight paper, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2337
Published
2023
Terray, L., 2023: A storyline Approach to the June 2021 Northwestern North American Heatwave. Geophysical Research Letters. 50, e2022GL101640. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL101640
Delhaye, S., Massonnet, F., Fichefet, T. et al. Dominant role of early winter Barents–Kara sea ice extent anomalies in subsequent atmospheric circulation changes in CMIP6 models. Clim Dyn (2023). https://doi-org/10.1007/s00382-023-06904-6
Gallardo, V., Sánchez-Gómez, E., Riber, E., Boé, J., et L. Terray. Evolution of high-temperature extremes over the main Euro-Mediterranean airports. Clim Dyn (2023). https://doi-org.insu.bib.cnrs.fr/10.1007/s00382-022-06652-z
2022
Baker, A. J., Roberts, M. J., Vidale, P. L., Hodges, K. I., Seddon, J., Vannière, B., Haarsma, R. J., Schiemann, R., Kapetanakis, D., Tourigny, E., Lohmann, K., Roberts, C. D., & Terray, L. (2022). Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones in a Multiresolution Ensemble of Atmosphere-Only and Fully Coupled Global Climate Models, Journal of Climate, 35(16), 5283-5306
Llovel, W., et al., 2022: Intrinsic ocean variability in decadal regional sea level and ocean heat content trends using synthetic profiles. Environ. Res. Lett. 17, 044063, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac5f93
Peatier, S., Sanderson, B. M., Terray, L., & Roehrig, R. (2022). Investigating parametric dependence of climate feedbacks in the atmospheric component of CNRM-CM6-1. Geophysical Research Letters, 49, e2021GL095084. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL095084
Ribes, A., Boé, J., Qasmi, S., Dubuisson, B., Douville, H., and Terray, L.: An updated assessment of past and future warming over France based on a regional observational constraint, Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1397–1415, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1397-2022, 2022.
Lopez-Parages, J., Terray, L. (2022) Tropical North Atlantic response to ENSO: sensitivity to model spatial resolution. Journal of climate, 35, (1), 3–16, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0240.1
2021
IPCC AR6, chapter 10: Doblas-Reyes, F. J,. A. A. Sörensson, M. Almazroui, A. Dosio, W. J. Gutowski, R. Haarsma, R. Hamdi, B. Hewitson, W-T. Kwon, B. L. Lamptey, D. Maraun, T. S. Stephenson, I. Takayabu, L. Terray, A. Turner, Z. Zuo, 2021, Linking Global to Regional Climate Change. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J. B. R. Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press. (https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/downloads/)
IPCC AR6, chapter 10, Supp. Material: Doblas-Reyes, F. J,. A. A. Sörensson, M. Almazroui, A. Dosio, W. J. Gutowski, R. Haarsma, R. Hamdi, B. Hewitson, W-T. Kwon, B. L. Lamptey, D. Maraun, T. S. Stephenson, I. Takayabu, L. Terray, A. Turner, Z. Zuo, 2021, Linking Global to Regional Climate Change Supplementary Material. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J. B. R. Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu and B. Zhou (eds.)]. (https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/downloads/)
Terray, L., 2021: A dynamical adjustment perspective on extreme event attribution. Weather Clim. Dynam., 2, 971–989, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-2-971-2021 [Article]
Chripko, S., Msadek, R., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Terray, L., Bessières, L., & Moine, M. (2021). Impact of Reduced Arctic Sea Ice on Northern Hemisphere Climate and Weather in Autumn and Winter, Journal of Climate, 34(14), 5847-5867 [Article]
Saint-Martin, D., Geoffroy, O., Voldoire, A., Cattiaux, J., Brient, F., Chauvin, F., et al. (2021). Tracking changes in climate sensitivity in CNRM climate models. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13, e2020MS002190. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020MS002190 [Article]
2020
Bador, M., Boé, J., Terray, L., Alexander, L. V., Baker, A., Bellucci, A., et al., 2020: Impact of higher spatial atmospheric resolution on precipitation extremes over land in global climate models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125, e2019JD032184. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD032184 [Article]
Boé , J., Terray , L. Moine , M-P., Valcke, S. et al., 2020: Past long-term summer warming over western Europe in new generation climate models: role of large-scale atmospheric circulation. Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 15(8), 084038, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab8a89 [Article]
Dosio, A., Turner, A. G.,Tamoffo, A. T., Bamba Sylla, M., Lennard, C., Jones, R. G., Terray, L., Nikulin, G., and Hewitson, B., 2020: A tale of two futures: contrasting scenarios of future precipitation for West Africa from an ensemble of regional climate models. Environ. Res. Lett. 15 (2020) 064007, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7fde [Article]
Gao Jiaxiang, Minobe, S., Roberts, M.J., Haarsma, R.J., Putrasahan, D., Roberts, C.D., Scoccimarro, E., Terray, L., Vannière, B. and Vidale, P.L.,2020: Influence of model resolution on bomb cyclones revealed by HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA simulations. Environ. Res. Lett. in press https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab88fa [Article]
Hyatt, S. R., Fletcher, C. G., Cassou, C., Ruprich-Robert, Y. and Terray, L., 2020: The dependence of the northern extratropical climate response to external forcing on the phase of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability, Climate Dynamics, 55, pp. 487-502 [Article]
Molteni, F., Roberts, C.D., Senan, R., Keeley, S.P.E., Bellucci, A., Corti, S., Fuentes Franco, R., Haarsma, R., Levine, X., Putrasahan, D., Roberts, M.J., and Terray, L., 2020: Boreal-winter teleconnections with tropical Indo-Pacific rainfall in HighResMIP historical simulations from the PRIMAVERA project. Climate Dynamics 55, 1843–1873, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05358-4 [Article]
Roberts, M. J., Camp, J., Seddon, J., Vidale, P. L., Hodges, K., Vanniere, B., Mecking, J., Haarsma, R., Bellucci, A., Scoccimarro, E., Caron, L-P., Chauvin, F., Terray, L., Valcke, S., Moine, M-P., Putrasahan, D., Roberts, C., Senan, R., Zarzycki, C. and Ullrich, P., 2020: Impact of model resolution on tropical cyclone simulation using the HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA multi-model ensemble. Journal of Climate, 33 (7). pp. 2557-2583. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-19-0639.1 [Article]
Roberts, M. J., Jackson, L. C., Roberts, C. D., Meccia, V., Docquier, D., Koenigk, T., ...L. Terray, ...et al., 2020: Sensitivity of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to model resolution in CMIP6 HighResMIP simulations and implications for future changes. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12, e2019MS002014. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS002014 [Article]
Schiemann, R., Athanasiadis, P., Barriopedro, D., Doblas-Reyes, F., Lohmann, K., Roberts, M. J., Sein, D. V., Roberts, C. D., Terray, L., and Vidale, P. L., 2020: Northern Hemisphere blocking simulation in current climate models: evaluating progress from the Climate Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 to 6 and sensitivity to resolution, Weather Clim. Dynam., 1, 277–292, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-277-2020 [Article] [Supplementary Material]
Vannière, B., and Coauthors, 2020: The Moisture Budget of Tropical Cyclones in HighResMIP Models: Large-Scale Environmental Balance and Sensitivity to Horizontal Resolution. J. Climate, 33, 8457–8474, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0999.1. [Article]
2019
Guo, R., Deser, C., Terray, L., & Lehner, F. ( 2019). Human influence on winter precipitation trends (1921–2015) over North America and Eurasia revealed by dynamical adjustment. Geophysical Research Letters, 46. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL081316 [Article]
Vanniere, B., Demory, M.E., Schiemann, R., Roberts, C. D., Matsueda, M., Terray, L., Koenigk, T., Senan, R., and Vidale, P. L., 2019: Multi-model evaluation of the sensitivity of the global energy budget and hydrological cycle to resolution. Climate Dynamics, 52 (11). pp. 6817-6846. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4547-y [Article]
Séférian, R., Nabat, P., Michou, M., Saint-Martin, D., Voldoire, A., Colin, J., Decharme, B., Delire, C., Berthet, S., Chevallier, M., Sénési, S., Franchistéguy, L., Vial, J., Mallet, M., Joetzjer, E., Geoffroy, O., Guérémy, J. -F., Moine, M. -P., Msadek, R., Ribes, A., Rocher, M., Roehrig, R., Salas y Melia, D., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Terray, L., Valcke, S., Waldman, R., Aumont, O., Bopp, L., Deshayes, J., Ethe, C. and Madec, G., 2019: Evaluation of CNRM Earth System Model, CNRM‐ESM2‐1:Role of Earth System Processes in Present‐Dayand Future Climate, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11 (12), pp. 4182-4227, doi:10.1029/2019MS001791 [Article]
A. Voldoire, D. Saint‐Martin, S. Sénési, B. Decharme, A. Alias, M. Chevallier, J. Colin, J.‐F. Guérémy, M. Michou, M.‐P. Moine, P. Nabat, R. Roehrig, D. Salas y Mélia, R. Séférian, S. Valcke, I. Beau, S. Belamari, S. Berthet, C. Cassou, J. Cattiaux, J. Deshayes, H. Douville, C. Ethé, L. Franchistéguy, O. Geoffroy, C. Lévy, G. Madec, Y. Meurdesoif, R. Msadek, A. Ribes, E. Sanchez‐Gomez, L. Terray, R. Waldman, 2019: Evaluation of CMIP6 DECK Experiments with CNRM-CM6-1. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11, 2177– 2213. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001683 [Article]
2018
Llovel, W., Penduff, T., Meyssignac, B., Molines, J.‐M., Terray, L., Bessières, L., & Barnier, B., 2018. Contributions of atmospheric forcing and chaotic ocean variability to regional sea level trends over 1993–2015. Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 13,405–13,413. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL080838 [Article]
Penduff, T., G. Sérazin, S. Leroux, S. Close, J.-M. Molines, B. Barnier, L. Bessières, L. Terray, and G. Maze., 2018. Chaotic variability of ocean heat content: Climate-relevant features and observational implications. Oceanography 31(2), https://doi.org/10.5670/oceanog.2018.210. [Article]
Sérazin, G., T. Penduff, B. Barnier, J. Molines, B.K. Arbic, M. Müller, and L. Terray, 2018: Inverse Cascades of Kinetic Energy as a Source of Intrinsic Variability: A Global OGCM Study. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 48, 1385–1408, https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-17-0136.1 [Article] [Supplementary Material]
Lehner, F., C. Deser, I. Simpson, and L. Terray, 2018: Attributing the US Southwest’s recent shift into drier conditions. Geophys. Res. Lett., 45. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL078312 [Article] [Supplementary Material]
Leroux, S., T. Penduff, L. Bessières, J. Molines, J. Brankart, G. Sérazin, B. Barnier, and L. Terray, 2018: Intrinsic and Atmospherically Forced Variability of the AMOC: Insights from a Large-Ensemble Ocean Hindcast. J. Climate, 31, 1183–1203, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0168.1 [Article]
2017
Lehner, F., C. Deser, and L. Terray, 2017: Toward a New Estimate of “Time of Emergence” of Anthropogenic Warming: Insights from Dynamical Adjustment and a Large Initial-Condition Model Ensemble. J. Climate, 30, 7739–7756, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0792.1[Article] [Supplementary Material]
Bador, M., Terray, L., Boe, J., Somot, S., Alias, A., Gibelin, A-L., Dubuisson, B., 2017: Future summer mega-heatwave and record-breaking temperatures in a warmer France climate. Environmental Research Letters, 12, 074025 [Article] [Supplementary Material]
Bessières, L., Leroux, S., Brankart, J.-M., Molines, J.-M., Moine, M.-P., Bouttier, P.-A., Penduff, T., Terray, L., Barnier, B., and Sérazin, G., 2017: Development of a probabilistic ocean modelling system based on NEMO 3.5: application at eddying resolution, Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 1091-1106, doi:10.5194/gmd-10-1091-2017 [Article]
Monerie, PA., Coquart, L., Maisonnave, É. et al. Clim Dyn (2017) Decadal prediction skill using a high-resolution climate model. Climate Dynamics, 49: pp 3527:3550. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3528-x [Article]
Monerie, P-A. , M-P. Moine, L. Terray and S. Valcke, 2017: Quantifying the impact of early 21st century volcanic eruptions on global-mean surface temperature. Environmental Research Letters, vol. 12, N°5, 054010 [Article]
Oudar, T., E. Sanchez-Gomez, F. Chauvin, J. Cattiaux, C. Cassou and L. Terray, 2017: Respective effects of Arctic sea ice loss and GHGs increase on the Northern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation, Climate Dynamics, DOI 10.1007/s00382-017-3541-0 [Article]
Sérazin, G., A. Jaymond, S. Leroux, T. Penduff, L. Bessières, W. Llovel, B. Barnier, J.-M. Molines, and L. Terray 2017, A global probabilistic study of the ocean heat content low-frequency variability: Atmospheric forcing versus oceanic chaos, Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 5580–5589, doi:10.1002/2017GL073026. [Article] [Supplementary Material]
2016
Llovel, W., Terray, L., 2016: Observed southern upper-ocean warming over 2005–2014 and associated mechanisms. Environ. Res. Lett., 11, 124023 [Article]
Serazin, G., Meyssignac, B., Penduff, T., Terray, L., Barnier, B., Molines, J.M., 2016: Quantifying uncertainties on regional sea level change induced by multi-decadal intrinsic oceanic variability. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, pp. 8151–8159, doi:10.1002/2016GL069273 [Article]
Deser, C., L. Terray and A. S. Phillips, 2016: Forced and internal components of winter air temperature trends over North America during the past 50 years: Mechanisms and implications. J. Climate, 29, pp. 2237-2258, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0304.1. [Article] [Supplementary Material]
Sanchez-Gomez, E., C. Cassou, Y. Ruprich-Robert, E. Fernandez, and L. Terray, 2016: Drift dynamics in a coupled model initialized for decadal forecasts. Climate Dynamics, 46, pp. 1819-1840, doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2678-y. [Article]
Piazza, M., L. Terray, J. Boé, E. Maisonnave, and E. Sanchez-Gomez, 2016: Influence of small-scale north atlantic sea surface temperature patterns on the marine boundary layer and free troposphere: a study using the atmospheric arpege model. Climate Dynamics, vol. 46, iss. 5, pp. 1699-1717. [Article]
Bador, M., L. Terray, and J. Boé, 2016: Emergence of human influence on summer record-breaking temperatures over europe. Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 43, pp. 404-412. [Article]
Bador, M., L. Terray, and J. Boé, 2016: Detection of anthropogenic influence on the evolution of record‑breaking temperatures over Europe. Climate Dynamics, 46(9), pp. 2717-2735. [Article]
2015
Boé, J. and L. Terray, 2015: Can metric-based approaches really improve multi-model climate projections ? the case of summer temperature change in france. Climate Dynamics, vol. 45, iss. 7, pp. 1913-1928. [Article]
Bichet, A., P. J. Kushner, L. Mudryk, L. Terray, and J. C. Fyfe, 2015: Estimating the anthropogenic sea surface temperature response using pattern scaling. J. Climate, vol. 28, iss. 9, pp. 3751-3763. [Article]
Serazin, G.,T. Penduff, S. Grégorio, B. Barnier, J. M. Molines, and L. Terray, 2015: Intrinsic variability of sea level from global ocean simulations : spatiotemporal scales. J. Climate, vol. 28, iss. 10, pp. 4279-4292. [Article]
Bellucci, A., R. Haarsma, S. Gualdi, P. J. Athanasiadis, M. Caian, C. Cassou, E. Fernandez, A. Germe, J. Jungclaus, J. Kröger, D. Matei, W. Müller, H. Pohlmann, D. Salas y Melia, E. Sanchez-Gomez, D. Smith, L. Terray, K. Wyser, and S. Yang, 2015: An assessment of a multi-model ensemble of decadal climate predictions. Climate Dynamics, vol. 44, iss. 9, pp 2787-2806. [Article]
Khodri, M., Swingedouw, D., Mignot, J., Sicre, M. -A., Garnier, E., Masson-Delmotte, V., Ribes, A. & Terray, L., 2015: Le climat du dernier millénaire, La météorologie, vol. 88, pp 1-12 [article]
Lòpez-Parages, J., B. Rodrìguez-Fonseca, and L. Terray, 2015: A mechanism for the multidecadal modulation of enso teleconnection with Europe. Climate Dynamics, vol. 45, iss. 3-4, pp. 867-880. [Article]
Planton, S., Bopp, L., Brun, E., Cattiaux, J., Chauvin, F., Chevallier, M., Ciais, P., Douville, H., Giraud, G., Soubeyroux, J. M. & Terray, L., 2015: Evolution du climat depuis 1850, La météorologie, 88, pp. 48-55. [article]
2014
Lecoeur, E., C. Seigneur, C. Pagé, and L. Terray, 2014: A statistical method to estimate pm2.5 concentrations from meteorology and its application to the effect of climate change. J. Geophys. Res. atmosphere, vol. 119, pp. 3537-3585. [Article]
Boé, J. and L. Terray, 2014: Land-sea contrast, soil-atmosphere and cloud-temperature interactions: interplays and roles in future summer european climate change. Climate Dynamics, vol. 42, iss. 3-4, pp. 683-699. [Article]
Lafaysse, M., B. Hingray, A. Mezghani, J. Gailhard, and L. Terray, 2014: Internal variability and model uncertainty components in future hydrometeorologicalprojections: the alpine Durance basin. Water Resources Research, vol. 50, iss. 4, pp. 3317-3341. [Article]
Piazza, M., J. Boé, L. Terray, C. Pagé, E. Sanchez-Gomez, and M. Déqué, 2014: Projected 21st century snowfall changes over the french alps and related uncertainties. Climatic Change, vol. 122, iss. 4, pp. 583-594. [Article]
2013
Terray, L. and J. Boé, 2013: Quantifying 21st-century france climate change and related uncertainties. C.R. Geosciences, vol. 345, iss. 3, pp. 136-149. [Article]
Ribes, A. and L. Terray, 2013: Application of regularised optimal fingerprinting to attribution. part ii: application to global near-surface temperature. Climate Dynamics, vol. 41, iss. 11-12, pp. 2837-2853. [Article]
Ribes, A., S. Planton, and L. Terray, "Application of regularised optimal fingerprinting to attribution. part i: method, properties and idealised analysis. Climate Dynamics, vol. 41, iss. 11-12, pp. 2817-2836. [Article]
Habets, F., J. Boé, M. Déqué, A. Ducharne, S. Gascoin, A. Hachour, E. Martin, C. Pagé, E. Sauquet, L. Terray, D. Thiéry, L. Oudin, and P. Viennot, "Impact of climate change on the hydrogeology of two basins in northern france. Climatic Change, vol. 121, iss. 4, pp. 771-785, 2013. [Article] [Supplementary Material]
Santer, B., J. Painter, C. Mears, C. Doutriaux, P. Caldwell, J. Arblaster, P. Cameron-Smith, N. Gillett, P. Gleckler, J. Lanzante, J. Perlwitz, S. Solomon, P. Stott, K. Taylor, L. Terray, P. Thorne, M. Wehner, F. Wentz, T. Wigley, L. Wilcox, and C. -Z. Zou, 2013: Identifying human influences on atmospheric temperature. Proceedings of the national academy of sciences of the united states of america, vol. 110, iss. 1, pp. 26-33, 2013. [Article] [Supplementary Material]
2012
Swingedouw, D., L. Terray, J. Servonnat, and J. Guiot, 2012: Mechanisms for european summer temperature response to solar forcing over the last millennium. Climate of the Past, vol. 8, iss. 5, pp. 1487-1495. [Article]
Materia, S., S. Gualdi, A. Navarra, and L. Terray, 2012: The effect of congo river freshwater discharge on eastern equatorial atlantic climate variability. Climate Dynamics, vol. 39, iss. 9-10, pp. 2109-2125. [Article]
Corre, L., L. Terray, M. A. Balmaseda, A. Ribes, and A. T. Weaver, 2012: Can oceanic reanalyses be used to assess recent anthropogenic changes and low-frequency internal variability of upper ocean temperature? Climate Dynamics , vol. 38, iss. 5-6, pp. 877-896, 2012. [Article]
Michel, C., G. Rivière, L. Terray, and B. Joly, 2012: The dynamical link between surface cyclones, upper-tropospheric rossbywave breaking and the life cycle of the scandinavian blocking. Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 39, iss. 10., L10806. [Article]
Terray, L., 2012: Evidence for multiple drivers of north atlantic multi-decadal climatevariability. Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 39, iss. 19, L19712, doi:10.1029/2012GL053046. [Article] [Supplementary material]
Terray, L., Corre, L., Cravatte, S., Delcroix, T., Reverdin, G., and A. Ribes, 2012: Near-surface salinity as Nature's rain gauge to detect human influence on the tropical water cycle. J. Climate, vol. 25, pp. 958-977. [Article]
2011
Hoerling, M., J. W. Hurrell, A. Kumar, L. Terray, J. Eischeid, T. Zhang, W. X. Quan, and T. Xu, 2011: On north american decadal climate for 2011-2020. J. Climate , vol. 24, Issue 16, pp. 4519-4528, 2011. [Article]
Cassou, C., M. Minvielle, L. Terray, C. Perigaud, 2010: A statistical-dynamical scheme for ocean downscaling in the Atlantic. Part I: Weather regimes as predictors for surface ocean variables. Climate Dynamics, vol. 1-2, pp. 19-39. doi:10.1007/s00382-010-781-7. [Article]
Ducharne, A., E. Sauquet, F. Habets, M. Déqué, S. Gascoin, A. Hachour, E. Martin, L. Oudin, C. Pagé, L. Terray, and D. Thiéry, 2011: Evolution potentielle du régime des crues de la seine sous changementclimatique. La houille blanche, vol. 1, pp. 51-57. [Article]
Joigneaux, E., P. Albéric, H. Pauwels, C. Pagé, L. Terray, and A. Bruand, 2011: Impact of climate change groundwater point discharge : backfloodingof karstic springs (loiret, france). Hydrology and earth system sciences, vol. 15, pp. 2459-2470, 2011. [Article]
Minvielle M., C. Cassou, L. Terray, R. Bourdalle-Badie, 2011: A statistical-dynamical scheme for ocean downscaling in the Atlantic. Part II: Methodology, validation and application to high resolution ocean models. Climate Dynamics, vol. 3-4, pp. 401-417. doi:10.1007/s00382-010-781-7. [Article]
Najac, J., C. Lac and L. Terray, 2011: Impact of climate change on surface winds in France using a statistical-dynamical downscaling method with mesoscale modeling. Int. J. Clim., vol. 31, pp. 415-430. [Article]
Swingedouw D., Terray L., Cassou C., Voldoire A., Salas-Melia D. and Servonnat J., 2011: Natural forcing of climate during the last millennium: Fingerprint of solar variability. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0803-5, 7-8, 1349-1364. [Article]
2010
Yiou, P., Bard, E., Dandin, P., Legras, B., Naveau, P., Rust, H.W, Terray, L., Vrac, M., 2010: Statistical issues about solar-climate relations. Climate of the Past, vol. 6, pp. 565-573, doi:10.5194/cp-6-565-2010. [Article]
Caminade C. and L. Terray, 2010: Twentieth century Sahel rainfall variability as simulated by the ARPEGE AGCM, and future changes. Climate Dynamics, vol. 35, Issue 1, pp 75-94. doi 10.1007/s00382-009-0545-4. [Article]
2009
Boé J., L. Terray, E. Martin and F. Habets, 2009: Projected changes in components of the hydrological cycle in French river basins during the 21st century. Water Resources Research, vol. 45, W08426, doi:10.1029/2008WR007437. [Article]
Boé J., L. Terray, C. Cassou and J. Najac, 2009: Uncertainties in European summer precipitation changes: role of large scale circulation. Climate Dynamics, vol. 33, pp. 265-276, doi10.1007/s00382-008-0474-7. [Article]
2008
Boé J. and L. Terray, 2008: Uncertainties in summer evapotranspiration changes over Europe and implications for regional climate change. Geophys.Res.Lett., vol. 35, L05702, doi:10.1029/2007GL032417. [Article]
Boé J. and L. Terray, 2008: A weather type approach to analysing winter precipitation in France: twentieth century trends and influence of anthropogenic forcing. J. Climate, vol. 21, pp. 3118-3133. [Article]
Najac J., J. Boé and L. Terray, 2008: A multi-model ensemble approach for assessment of climate change impact on surface winds in France. Climate Dynamics, vol. 32, pp. 615-634. doi: 10.1007/s00382-008-0440-4. [Article]
Planton, S., M. Déqué, F. Chauvin, and L. Terray, 2008: Expected impacts of climate change on extreme climate events. Comptes Rendus Geoscience, vol. 340, pp. 564-574. [Article]
2007
Boé, J., L. Terray, F. Habets, and E. Martin, 2007: Statistical and dynamical downscaling of the seine basin climate for hydro-meteorological studies. Int. j. clim., vol. 27, pp. 1643-1655. [Article]
Dewitte, B., Yeh, S. -W., Moon, B. -K., Cibot, C. and Terray, L. (2007) Rectification of ENSO Variability by Interdecadal Changes in the Equatorial Background Mean State in a CGCM Simulation, Journal of Climate, 20, pp. 2002-2021 [Article]
Dewitte, B., S. -W. Yeh, B. -K. Moon, C. Cibot, and L. Terray, 2007: Interaction between near-annual and enso modes in a cgcm simulation:role of the equatorial background mean state. J. Climate, vol. 20, iss. 6, pp. 1035-1052. [Article]
2006
Boé, J., Terray, L., Habets, F. and Martin, E. (2006) A simple statistical-dynamical downscaling scheme based on weather types and conditional resampling, Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 111, D23106 [Article]
Caminade, C. and Terray, L. (2006) Influence of increased greenhouse gases and sulphate aerosols concentration upon diurnal temperature range over Africa at the end of the 20th century, Geophysical Research Letters, 33, doi:10.1029/2006GL026381 [Article]
Caminade, C., Terray, L. and Maisonnave, E. (2006) West African monsoon system response to greenhouse gas and sulfate aerosols forcing under two emissions scenarios, Climate Dynamics, 26, pp. 531-547 [Article]
Collins, M., Botzet, N., Carril, A. -F., Drange, H., Jouzeau, A., Latif, M., Masina, S., Otteraa, O. H., Pohlmann, H., Sorteberg, A., Sutton, R. & Terray, L., 2006: Interannual to decadal climate predictability in the north atlantic: a multimodel-ensemble study, J. Climate, vol. 19, pp. 1195-1203 [Article]
2005
Sanchez-Gomez, E. and Terray, L. (2005) Large-scale atmospheric dynamics and local intense precipitation episodes, Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L24711 [Article]
Tourre, Y. M., Cibot, C., Terray, L., White, W. B. and Dewitte, B. (2005) Quasi-decadal and inter-decadal climate fluctuations in the Pacific Ocean from a CGCM, Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L07710 [Article]
Cassou, C., Terray, L. and Phillips, A. S. (2005) Tropical Atlantic influence on European heat waves, Journal of Climate, 18, pp. 2805-2811 [pdf]
Cibot, C., Maisonnave, E., Terray, L. and Dewitte, B. (2005) Mechanisms of Tropical Pacific interannual-to-decadal variability in the ARPEGE/ORCA global coupled model, Climate Dynamics, 24, pp. 823-842 [pdf]
2004
Cassou, C., Deser, C., Terray, L., Hurrell, J. W. and Drévillon, M. (2004) Summer sea surface temparature conditions in the north Atlantic and their impact upon the atmospheric circulation in early winter, Journal of Climate, 17, pp. 3349-3363 [pdf]
Terray, L., Demory, M. -E., Déqué, M., de Coëtlogon, G. and Maisonnave, E. (2004) Simulation of late twenty-first century changes in wintertime atmospheric circulation over Europe due to anthropogenic causes, Journal of Climate, 17, pp. 4630-4635 [pdf]
Frankignoul, C., Kestenare, E., Botzet, M., Carril, A. -F., Drange, H., Pardaens, A., Terray, L. and Sutton, R. (2004) An intercomparison between the surface heat flux feedback in five coupled models, Climate Dynamics, 22, pp. 373-388 [pdf]
Cassou, C., Terray, L., Hurrell, J. W. and Deser, C. (2004) North Atlantic winter climate regimes: spatial asymmetry, Journal of Climate, 17 (3), pp. 1055-1068 [pdf]
Guilyardi, E., Gualdi, S., Slingo, J., Navarra, A., Delecluse, P., Cole, J., Madec, G., Roberts, M., Latif, M. and Terray, L. (2004) Representing el Nino in coupled ocean-atmosphere GCMS: the dominant role of the atmospheric component, Journal of Climate, 17, pp. 4623-4628 [pdf]
2003
Drévillon, M., Cassou, C. and Terray, L. (2003) Model study of the wintertime atmospheric response to autumn tropical Atlantic sea-surface-temperature anomalies., Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 129, pp. 2591-2611 [pdf]
Terray, P., Delecluse, P., Terray, L. and Labattu, S. (2003) Sea surface temperature forcing of the Indian summer monsoon., Climate Dynamics, 21, pp. 593-618 [pdf]
2002
Terray, L. and Cassou, C. (2002) Tropical atlantic sea surface temperature forcing of quasi-decadal variability over the north atlantic european region, Journal of Climate, 22, pp. 3170-3187 [pdf]
Davey, M., Huddleston, M., Sperber, K. R., Braconnot, P., Bryan, F. O., Chen, D., Colman, A., Cooper, C., Cubasch, U., Delecluse, P., DeWitt, D., Fairhead, L., Flato, G. M., Gordon, C., Hogan, T., Ji, M., Kimoto, M., Kitoh, A., Knutson, T., Latif, M., Le Treut, H., Li, T., Manabe, S., Mechoso, C. R., Meehl, G. A., Power, S. B., Roeckner, E., Terray, L., Vintzileos, A., Voss, R., Wang, B., Washington, W., Yoshikawa, I., Wu, J., Yukimoto, S. and Zebiak, S. (2002) STOIC: a study of coupled model climatology and variability in tropical ocean regions, Climate Dynamics, 18, pp. 403-420 [pdf]
Royer, J. -F., Cariolle, D., Chauvin, F., Déqué, M., Douville, H., Hu, R. M., Planton, S., Rascol, A., Ricard, J. -L., Salas y Melia, D., Sevault, F., Simon, P., Somot, S., Tyteca, S., Terray, L. and Valcke, S. (2002) Simulation des changements climatiques au cours du XXIe siècle incluant l'ozone stratosphérique (simulation of climate changesduring the 21st century including stratospheric ozone), Comptes Rendus Geoscience, 334 (3), pp. 147-154 [pdf]
André, J. C., Caneill, J. -Y., Déqué, M., Rogel, P., Terray, L. and Tourre, Y. M. (2002) La prévision du climat de l'échelle saisonnière à l'échelle décennale, Comptes Rendus Geoscience, 334, pp. 1115-1127 [pdf]
2001
Cassou, C., Terray, L., (2001) Oceanic Forcing of the Wintertime Low-Frequency Atmospheric Variability in the
North Atlantic European Sector: A Study with the ARPEGE Model, Journal of Climate, 14, pp. 4266-4291 [pdf]
Cassou, C. and Terray, L. (2001) Dual influence of Atlantic and Pacific sst anomalies on the north atlantic/europe winter climate, Geophysical Research Letters, 28, pp. 3195-3198 [pdf]
Drévillon, M., Terray, L., Rogel, P. and Cassou, C. (2001) Midlatitude atlantic sst influence on european winter climate variabilityin the ncep reanalysis, Climate Dynamics, 18/3-4, pp. 331-344 [pdf]
Guilyardi, E., Madec, G. and Terray, L. (2001) Role of lateral ocean physics in the upper ocean thermal balanceof a coupled ocean-atmosphere gcm, Climate Dynamics, 17, pp. 589-599 [pdf]
Bopp, L., Monfray, P., Aumont, O., Dufresne, J. -L., Madec, G., Terray, L. and Orr, J. (2001) Potential impact of climate change on marine export production, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 15, pp. 81-100 [pdf]
2000
Covey, C., Abe-Ouchi, A., Boer, G. J., Flato, G. M., Boville, B. A., Meehl, G. A., Cubasch, U., Roeckner, E., Gordon, H., Guilyardi, E., Terray, L., Jiang, X., Miller, R., Russel, G., Johns, T. C., Le Treut, H., Fairhead, L., Madec, G., Noda, A., Power, S. B., Schneider, E. and Stouffer, R. J. (2000) The seasonal cycle in coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulationmodels, Climate Dynamics, 16, pp. 775-787 [pdf]
Terray, L. and Cassou, C. (2000) Modes of low-frequency climate variability and their relationshipswith land precipitation and surface temperature : application tothe northern hemisphere winter climate, Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 14, pp. 339-369 [pdf]
Pontaud, M., Céron, J. -P., Kimoto, M., Pluviaud, F., Terray, L. and Vintzileos, A. (2000) Copivep: coupled processes and interannual variability in the equatorialpacific intercomparison, Climate Dynamics, 16, pp. 917-933 [pdf]
1999
1998
Terray, L. (1998) Sensitivity of climate drift to atmospheric physical parameterizationsin a coupled ocean--atmosphere general circulation model, Journal of Climate, 11, pp. 1633-1658 [pdf]
Cassou, C., Noyret, P., Sevault, E., Thual, O., Terray, L., Beaucourt, D. and Imbard, M. (1998) Distributed ocean--atmosphere modelling and sensitivity to the coupling flux precision: the catode project, Monthly Weather Review, 126, pp. 1035-1053 [pdf]
Barthelet, P., Terray, L. and Valcke, S. (1998) Transient CO2 experiment using the arpege/opaice non flux correctedcoupled model, Geophysical Research Letters, 25, pp. 2277-2280 [pdf]
Barthelet, P., Bony, S., Braconnot, P., Braun, A., Cariolle, D., Cohen-Solal, E., Dufresne, J. -L., Delecluse, P., Déqué, M., Fairhead, L., Filiberti, M. -A., Forichon, M., Grandpeix, J. -Y., Guilyardi, E., Houssais, M. -N., Imbard, M., Letreut, H., Lévy, C., Li, Z., Madec, G., Marquet, P., Marti, O., Planton, S., Terray, L., Thual, O. and Valcke, S. (1998) Simulations couplées globales des changements climatiques associés à une augmentation de la teneur atmosphérique en CO2, Comptes Rendus de l'Académie des Sciences série II Fascicule A-Sciences de la Terre et des Planètes, 326, pp. 677-684 [pdf]
1997
Garric, G., Stephenson, D. and Terray, L. (1997) Simulation couplée globale atmosphère, banquise et océan superficiel., Comptes Rendus de l'Académie des Sciences série II Fascicule A-Sciences de la Terre et des Planètes, t.324,série IIa, pp. 529-536
1995
Terray, L., Thual, O., Belamari, S., Déqué, M., Dandin, P., Lévy, C. and Delecluse, P. (1995) Climatology and interannual variability simulated by the arpege-opa model, Climate Dynamics, 11, pp. 487-505 [pdf]
Mechoso, C. R., Robertson, A. W., Barth, N., Davey, M., Delecluse, P., Kirtman, B., Latif, M., Nagai, T., Philander, S. G. H., Schopf, P. S., Stockdale, T., Suarez, M. J., Terray, L., Thual, O. and Tribbia, J. (1995) The seasonal cycle over the tropical pacific in general circulation models, Monthly Weather Review, 123, pp. 2825-2838 [pdf]
Guilyardi, E., Madec, G., Terray, L., Déqué, M., Pontaud, M., Imbard, M., Stephenson, D., Filiberti, M. -A., Cariolle, D., Delecluse, P. and Thual, O. (1995) Simulation couplée océan-atmosphère de la variabilité du climat, Comptes Rendus de l'Académie des Sciences série II Fascicule A-Sciences de la Terre et des Planètes, t. 320, série IIa, pp. 683-690 [pdf]