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Sanderson, B.M., Wobus, C., Mills, D., Zarakas, C., Crimmins, A., Sarofim, M.C. and Weaver, C., Informing future risks of record‐level rainfall in the United States. Geophysical Research Letters.

The changing risk of extreme precipitation is difficult to project. Events are rare by definition and return periods of heavy precipitation events are often calculated assuming a stationary climate. Furthermore, ensembles of climate model projections are not large enough to fully categorize the tails of the distribution. We propose a clustering algorithm to identify self‐similar hydroclimates to estimate changes in the expected frequency of extremely rare events under scenarios of global mean temperature change. We find that, although there is some regional variation, record events are projected in general to become more intense, with 500 year events intensifying by 10‐50% under 2°C of warming and by 40‐100% under 4°C of warming.

CALENDAR

Monday

11

December

2023

Multi-architecture parallelism using Kokkos/C++ library

From Monday 11 December 2023 at 14h00 to Wednesday 13 December 2023 at 17h00

  Training    

Thursday

21

December

2023

PhD Defense : Aurélien LINÉ : ” Modulation of European near-term climate change by multi-decadal internal variability “

Thursday 21 December 2023 at 15h00

  CERFACS - Toulouse - France     Organized by Nathalie BROUSSET    

Monday

18

March

2024

Introduction to programming practices for scientific computing

Monday 18 March 2024

  Training    

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